El Porvenir vs Mercedes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera CSat, 21 Mar 2026

El Porvenir

DDD

Sat, 21 Mar 202619:30

1 : 1

Full time

Mercedes

LWW

Pre-match win probability

42.3%El Porvenir32.3%Draw25.4%Mercedes

Our prediction

Away or Draw · El Porvenir

El Porvenir vs Mercedes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.6
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • El Porvenir 42.3%
  • Draw 32.3%
  • Mercedes 25.4%

Season statistics

Primera C · highlighted side is stronger

El PorvenirMercedes

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals20.8% · 1.124.2% · 5.5
1.5 goals14.4% · 1.6210.6% · 2.2
2.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.6% · 1.4
3.5 goals4.2% · 5.520.8% · 1.12

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X56.7%
X243.3%

Match result

El Porvenir2.1
Draw2.75
Mercedes3.5

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance56.7%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance43.3%
Odds1.6

El Porvenir

Chance42.3%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance32.3%
Odds2.75

Mercedes

Chance25.4%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.6

El PorvenirMercedes
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

El Porvenir vs Mercedes: prediction & preview

Argentina · Primera C · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

El Porvenir meet Mercedes in the Argentina, Primera C on 21 March 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is El Porvenir at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

El Porvenir vs Mercedes FAQs

4 questions

What time is El Porvenir vs Mercedes?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on El Porvenir vs Mercedes?

El Porvenir is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

El Porvenir vs Mercedes prediction, H2H and stats