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Elche vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 3 Jan 2026

Elche

WWLWD

Sat, 3 Jan 202618:30

0 : 2

Live

Villarreal

WDLWW

Pre-match win probability

29.7%Elche27.1%Draw43.2%Villarreal

Our prediction

Home · Elche

Elche vs Villarreal listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence43.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Elche 29.7%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Villarreal 43.2%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

ElcheVillarreal
Goals scored (avg)
–2.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Elche0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Villarreal5W 1D 4L in last 10
    • 27 OctManacor0 – 5VillarrealW
    • 24 OctValencia1 – 2VillarrealW
    • 20 OctLiverpool4 – 3VillarrealL
    • 17 OctVillarreal0 – 0ElcheD
    • 13 OctVillarreal3 – 1NapoliW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.9% · 1.042% · 12
    1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
    2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
    3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6%
    No42.4%

    Double chance

    1X44.9%
    X255.1%

    Match result

    Elche3.2
    Draw3.5
    Villarreal2.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes57.6% · 1.62
    No42.4% · 2.2

    1X

    Chance44.9%
    Odds1.67

    X2

    Chance55.1%
    Odds1.36

    Elche

    Chance29.7%
    Odds3.2

    Draw

    Chance27.1%
    Odds3.5

    Villarreal

    Chance43.2%
    Odds2.2

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 3.2

    ElcheVillarreal
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack31%69%
    Defence38%62%
    Goals model31%69%
    Overall41%59%

    Trends

    Trend · La Liga

    Villarreal scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · La Liga

    Villarreal conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · La Liga

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · La Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Elche vs Villarreal: prediction & preview

    Spain · La Liga · Sat, 3 Jan 2026

    Elche meet Villarreal in the Spain, La Liga on 3 January 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Villarreal at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Elche vs Villarreal FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Elche vs Villarreal?

    Kickoff is 18:30 on 3 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Elche vs Villarreal?

    Villarreal is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.2%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.