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Emelec vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProFri, 20 Mar 2026

Emelec

Fri, 20 Mar 202601:00

2 : 0

Full time

Independiente del Valle

Pre-match win probability

27.2%Emelec29.8%Draw43%Independiente del Valle

Our prediction

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Emelec 27.2%
  • Draw 29.8%
  • Independiente del Valle 43%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

EmelecIndependiente del Valle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Emelec3.4
Draw3.1
Independiente del Valle2.15

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Emelec

Chance27.2%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance29.8%
Odds3.1

Independiente del Valle

Chance43%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Independiente del Valle at 2.15

EmelecIndependiente del Valle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall39%61%

Emelec vs Independiente del Valle: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Fri, 20 Mar 2026

Emelec meet Independiente del Valle in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 20 March 2026 at 01:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Independiente del Valle at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Emelec vs Independiente del Valle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Emelec vs Independiente del Valle?

Kickoff is 01:00 on 20 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Emelec vs Independiente del Valle?

Independiente del Valle is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Emelec vs Independiente del Valle prediction, H2H and stats