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Emelec vs Leones del Norte Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProMon, 31 Aug 2026

Emelec

LLLWL

Mon, 31 Aug 202600:00

2 : 1

Full time

Leones del Norte

LWLDW

Pre-match win probability

51.5%Emelec29%Draw19.5%Leones del Norte

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Emelec

Emelec vs Leones del Norte listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence51.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Emelec 51.5%
  • Draw 29%
  • Leones del Norte 19.5%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EmelecLeones del Norte
Goals scored (avg)
1.1–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.3–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Emelec3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 25 OctEmelec0 – 1Guayaquil City FCL
  • 18 OctLeones del Norte1 – 3EmelecW
  • 10 OctGuayaquil City FC3 – 2EmelecL
  • 20 SeptEmelec1 – 2LibertadL
  • 13 SeptMacara1 – 0EmelecL
Leones del Norte0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headEmelec 1W · 1D · Leones del Norte 1W · 2 goals a game
    • 18 OctLeones del Norte1 – 3Emelec
    • 3 MayLeones del Norte2 – 0Emelec
    • 8 OctLeones del Norte0 – 0Emelec

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
    1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
    2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
    3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4%
    No57.6%

    Double chance

    1X62.3%
    X237.7%

    Match result

    Emelec1.8
    Draw3.2
    Leones del Norte4.75

    Both teams to score

    Yes42.4% · 2.2
    No57.6% · 1.62

    1X

    Chance62.3%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance37.7%
    Odds1.95

    Emelec

    Chance51.5%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance29%
    Odds3.2

    Leones del Norte

    Chance19.5%
    Odds4.75

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.95

    EmelecLeones del Norte
    Recent form91%9%
    Attack52%48%
    Defence63%37%
    Goals model52%48%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall73%27%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Emelec scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Emelec conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · Liga Pro

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 9.

    Emelec vs Leones del Norte: prediction & preview

    Ecuador · Liga Pro · Mon, 31 Aug 2026

    Emelec meet Leones del Norte in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 31 August 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Emelec at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Emelec vs Leones del Norte FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Emelec vs Leones del Norte?

    Kickoff is 00:00 on 31 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Emelec vs Leones del Norte?

    Emelec is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.