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Emelec vs Libertad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador · Liga ProSun, 10 May 2026

Emelec

LWWLL

Sun, 10 May 202621:30

1 : 1

Full time

Libertad

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

57.3%Emelec25.1%Draw17.7%Libertad

Our prediction

Home · Emelec

Emelec vs Libertad listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence57.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Emelec 57.3%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Libertad 17.7%

Season statistics

Liga Pro · highlighted side is stronger

EmelecLibertad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X65.8%
X234.2%

Match result

Emelec1.62
Draw3.7
Libertad5.25

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance65.8%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.2%
Odds2.25

Emelec

Chance57.3%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.7

Libertad

Chance17.7%
Odds5.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.62

EmelecLibertad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall76%24%

Emelec vs Libertad: prediction & preview

Ecuador · Liga Pro · Sun, 10 May 2026

Emelec meet Libertad in the Ecuador, Liga Pro on 10 May 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Emelec at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Emelec vs Libertad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Emelec vs Libertad?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 10 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Emelec vs Libertad?

Emelec is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Emelec vs Libertad prediction, H2H and stats