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Empoli vs Sudtirol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie BSat, 17 Jan 2026

Empoli

15th in table · 41 pts

LLDLL

Sat, 17 Jan 202615:00

0 : 1

Full time

Sudtirol

16th in table · 41 pts

LDLDL

Pre-match win probability

38.8%Empoli30.1%Draw31.1%Sudtirol

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Empoli

Empoli vs Sudtirol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence38.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Empoli 38.8%
  • Draw 30.1%
  • Sudtirol 31.1%

Season statistics

Serie B · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EmpoliSudtirol
Goals scored (avg)
0.91.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.61.3
Wins
98
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Empoli2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 27 OctCesena2 – 1EmpoliL
  • 23 OctEmpoli0 – 2Vicenza VirtusL
  • 17 OctAscoli1 – 1EmpoliD
  • 10 OctEmpoli2 – 4PalermoL
  • 20 SeptModena2 – 1EmpoliL
Sudtirol2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 27 OctPadova2 – 0SudtirolL
  • 24 OctSudtirol1 – 1SampdoriaD
  • 18 OctJuve Stabia3 – 0SudtirolL
  • 10 OctSudtirol0 – 0AscoliD
  • 2 OctSudtirol2 – 3Wacker InnsbruckL
H2H
Head to headEmpoli 1W · 0D · Sudtirol 0W · 3 goals a game
  • 5 OctSudtirol1 – 2Empoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Empoli2.4
Draw3.1
Sudtirol3

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Empoli

Chance38.8%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance30.1%
Odds3.1

Sudtirol

Chance31.1%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.36

EmpoliSudtirol
Recent form44%56%
Attack45%55%
Defence45%55%
Goals model45%55%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Serie B

Empoli scored 0.9 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Empoli conceded 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie B

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie B

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Empoli vs Sudtirol: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie B · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Empoli meet Sudtirol in the Italy, Serie B on 17 January 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Empoli at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Empoli vs Sudtirol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Empoli vs Sudtirol?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Empoli vs Sudtirol?

Empoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.