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Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationMon, 28 Sept 2026

Equatorial Guinea

Mon, 28 Sept 202617:00

1 : 0

Full time

Sierra Leone

Pre-match win probability

46.7%Equatorial Guinea29.4%Draw24%Sierra Leone

Our prediction

Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.95
Confidence46.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Equatorial Guinea 46.7%
  • Draw 29.4%
  • Sierra Leone 24%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · highlighted side is stronger

Equatorial GuineaSierra Leone

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.2% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Equatorial Guinea1.95
Draw3.1
Sierra Leone3.8

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.7

Equatorial Guinea

Chance46.7%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance29.4%
Odds3.1

Sierra Leone

Chance24%
Odds3.8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Equatorial Guinea at 1.95

Equatorial GuineaSierra Leone
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Mon, 28 Sept 2026

Equatorial Guinea meet Sierra Leone in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 28 September 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Equatorial Guinea at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone FAQs

4 questions

What time is Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Kickoff is 17:00 on 28 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?

Equatorial Guinea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone prediction, H2H and stats