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Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · DFB PokalSat, 22 Aug 2026

Erzgebirge Aue

DLLLW

Sat, 22 Aug 202614:30

0 : 4

Full time

1899 Hoffenheim

Pre-match win probability

5%Erzgebirge Aue9.9%Draw85.1%1899 Hoffenheim

Our prediction

1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.11
Confidence85.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Erzgebirge Aue 5%
  • Draw 9.9%
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 85.1%

Season statistics

DFB Pokal · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Erzgebirge Aue1899 Hoffenheim
Goals scored (avg)
1.3–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Erzgebirge Aue4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 24 OctFSV Zwickau0 – 3Erzgebirge AueW
  • 18 OctErzgebirge Aue0 – 1Hallescher FCL
  • 11 OctGreifswalder FC1 – 0Erzgebirge AueL
  • 27 SeptErzgebirge Aue1 – 2BSG Chemie LeipzigL
  • 19 SeptFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt2 – 2Erzgebirge AueD
1899 Hoffenheim0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.5% · 1.010.9% · 26
    1.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
    2.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.6% · 3.6
    3.5 goals14.2% · 1.6711.3% · 2.1

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.7%
    No53.3%

    Double chance

    1X13.6%
    X286.4%

    Match result

    Erzgebirge Aue19
    Draw9.5
    1899 Hoffenheim1.11

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.7% · 2
    No53.3% · 1.75

    1X

    Chance13.6%
    Odds6.5

    X2

    Chance86.4%
    Odds1.02

    Erzgebirge Aue

    Chance5%
    Odds19

    Draw

    Chance9.9%
    Odds9.5

    1899 Hoffenheim

    Chance85.1%
    Odds1.11

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: 1899 Hoffenheim at 1.11

    Erzgebirge Aue1899 Hoffenheim
    Recent form93%7%
    Attack57%43%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model57%43%
    Overall6%94%

    Trends

    Trend · DFB Pokal

    Erzgebirge Aue scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · DFB Pokal

    Erzgebirge Aue conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · DFB Pokal

    Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

    Trend · DFB Pokal

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction & preview

    Germany · DFB Pokal · Sat, 22 Aug 2026

    Erzgebirge Aue meet 1899 Hoffenheim in the Germany, DFB Pokal on 22 August 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is 1899 Hoffenheim at 1.11. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 85.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.28, about 73.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

    Kickoff is 14:30 on 22 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Erzgebirge Aue vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

    1899 Hoffenheim is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.11. The margin-adjusted share is about 85.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.28 and under 2.5 is 3.6.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.