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Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · 3. LigaSun, 12 Apr 2026

Erzgebirge Aue

LLLLL

Sun, 12 Apr 202615:30

1 : 1

Full time

Verl

LLWWW

Pre-match win probability

22.4%Erzgebirge Aue23.9%Draw53.7%Verl

Our prediction

Away · Erzgebirge Aue

Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence53.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Erzgebirge Aue 22.4%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Verl 53.7%

Season statistics

3. Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Erzgebirge AueVerl

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.2% · 19
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X37.5%
X262.5%

Match result

Erzgebirge Aue4
Draw3.75
Verl1.67

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance37.5%
Odds2

X2

Chance62.5%
Odds1.2

Erzgebirge Aue

Chance22.4%
Odds4

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.75

Verl

Chance53.7%
Odds1.67

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.67

Erzgebirge AueVerl
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl: prediction & preview

Germany · 3. Liga · Sun, 12 Apr 2026

Erzgebirge Aue meet Verl in the Germany, 3. Liga on 12 April 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Verl at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl FAQs

4 questions

What time is Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 12 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl?

Verl is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Erzgebirge Aue vs Verl prediction, H2H and stats