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Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · 3. LigaSat, 28 Feb 2026

Erzgebirge Aue

Sat, 28 Feb 202614:00

1 : 3

Full time

VfL Osnabrück

Pre-match win probability

30%Erzgebirge Aue28.1%Draw41.9%VfL Osnabrück

Our prediction

VfL Osnabrück

VfL Osnabrück is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Erzgebirge Aue 30%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • VfL Osnabrück 41.9%

Season statistics

3. Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Erzgebirge AueVfL Osnabrück

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X43.8%
X256.2%

Match result

Erzgebirge Aue3
Draw3.2
VfL Osnabrück2.15

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

Erzgebirge Aue

Chance30%
Odds3

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

VfL Osnabrück

Chance41.9%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: VfL Osnabrück at 2.15

Erzgebirge AueVfL Osnabrück
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction & preview

Germany · 3. Liga · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Erzgebirge Aue meet VfL Osnabrück in the Germany, 3. Liga on 28 February 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is VfL Osnabrück at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück FAQs

4 questions

What time is Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück?

VfL Osnabrück is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Erzgebirge Aue vs VfL Osnabrück prediction, H2H and stats