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Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Turkey · Süper LigSun, 20 Sept 2026

Erzurumspor FK

8th in table · 14 pts

WLDWW

Sun, 20 Sept 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Samsunspor

17th in table · 4 pts

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

36.4%Erzurumspor FK29.9%Draw33.7%Samsunspor

Our prediction

Draw · Erzurumspor FK

Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor listed tip from the board.

Odds3.1
Confidence36.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Erzurumspor FK 36.4%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Samsunspor 33.7%

Season statistics

Süper Lig · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Erzurumspor FKSamsunspor
Goals scored (avg)
1.10.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42.6
Wins
41
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Erzurumspor FK4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 24 OctGaziantep FK1 – 3Erzurumspor FKW
  • 17 OctErzurumspor FK2 – 0EyüpsporW
  • 10 OctAlanyaspor0 – 0Erzurumspor FKD
  • 11 SeptBeşiktaş3 – 0Erzurumspor FKL
  • 5 SeptErzurumspor FK1 – 0KonyasporW
Samsunspor1W 1D 7L in last 9
  • 24 OctSamsunspor1 – 2AmedL
  • 18 OctKasımpaşa4 – 1SamsunsporL
  • 10 OctSamsunspor0 – 3TrabzonsporL
  • 12 SeptSamsunspor1 – 5Çorum FKL
  • 6 SeptKocaelispor1 – 0SamsunsporL
H2H
Head to headErzurumspor FK 0W · 3D · Samsunspor 3W · 2.2 goals a game
  • 30 JanSamsunspor2 – 1Erzurumspor FK
  • 27 AugErzurumspor FK2 – 2Samsunspor
  • 19 MarErzurumspor FK1 – 2Samsunspor
  • 23 OctSamsunspor0 – 0Erzurumspor FK
  • 11 FebSamsunspor1 – 0Erzurumspor FK
  • 10 SeptErzurumspor FK1 – 1Samsunspor

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

Erzurumspor FK2.55
Draw3.1
Samsunspor2.75

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

Erzurumspor FK

Chance36.4%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3.1

Samsunspor

Chance33.7%
Odds2.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.1

Erzurumspor FKSamsunspor
Recent form78%22%
Attack55%45%
Defence80%20%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head25%75%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · Süper Lig

Erzurumspor FK scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Süper Lig

Erzurumspor FK conceded 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Süper Lig

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Süper Lig

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor: prediction & preview

Turkey · Süper Lig · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Erzurumspor FK meet Samsunspor in the Turkey, Süper Lig on 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Erzurumspor FK at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor FAQs

4 questions

What time is Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor?

Erzurumspor FK is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.