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Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaFri, 20 Mar 2026

Estrela

Fri, 20 Mar 202621:15

4 : 0

Full time

Casa Pia

Pre-match win probability

37.5%Estrela30.2%Draw32.3%Casa Pia

Our prediction

Estrela

Estrela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estrela 37.5%
  • Draw 30.2%
  • Casa Pia 32.3%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

EstrelaCasa Pia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.5% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Estrela2.5
Draw3.1
Casa Pia2.9

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Estrela

Chance37.5%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance30.2%
Odds3.1

Casa Pia

Chance32.3%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Estrela at 2.5

EstrelaCasa Pia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall54%46%

Estrela vs Casa Pia: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri, 20 Mar 2026

Estrela meet Casa Pia in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 20 March 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estrela at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estrela vs Casa Pia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Estrela vs Casa Pia?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 20 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Estrela vs Casa Pia?

Estrela is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction, H2H and stats