Estrela vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Estrela

LWDLL

Fri, 20 Feb 202621:45

0 : 2

Full time

Tondela

DDDLL

Pre-match win probability

32.5%Estrela31.5%Draw36%Tondela

Our prediction

1X · Estrela

Estrela vs Tondela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Estrela 32.5%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Tondela 36%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

EstrelaTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X49.3%
X250.7%

Match result

Estrela2.9
Draw3
Tondela2.62

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

Estrela

Chance32.5%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Tondela

Chance36%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.44

EstrelaTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall47%53%

Estrela vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri, 20 Feb 2026

Estrela meet Tondela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 20 February 2026 at 21:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Tondela at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Estrela vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Estrela vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 21:45 on 20 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Estrela vs Tondela?

Tondela is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 36%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Estrela vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats