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Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationTue, 29 Sept 2026

Ethiopia

LWW

Tue, 29 Sept 202614:00

0 : 1

Full time

Senegal

D

Pre-match win probability

12.7%Ethiopia18.8%Draw68.5%Senegal

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Ethiopia

Ethiopia vs Senegal listed tip from the board.

Odds3
Confidence68.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ethiopia 12.7%
  • Draw 18.8%
  • Senegal 68.5%

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · highlighted side is stronger

EthiopiaSenegal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.052.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals18.1% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.7% · 1.85
3.5 goals6.9% · 3.418.1% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X26.1%
X273.9%

Match result

Ethiopia7
Draw4.75
Senegal1.3

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance26.1%
Odds3

X2

Chance73.9%
Odds1.06

Ethiopia

Chance12.7%
Odds7

Draw

Chance18.8%
Odds4.75

Senegal

Chance68.5%
Odds1.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 3

EthiopiaSenegal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall16%84%

Ethiopia vs Senegal: prediction & preview

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tue, 29 Sept 2026

Ethiopia meet Senegal in the World, Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Senegal at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ethiopia vs Senegal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ethiopia vs Senegal?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 29 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ethiopia vs Senegal?

Senegal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ethiopia vs Senegal prediction, H2H and stats