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Etincelles vs Bugesera Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Rwanda · National Soccer LeagueSun, 11 Jan 2026

Etincelles

13th in table · 37 pts

DWWLL

Sun, 11 Jan 202614:00

1 : 2

Full time

Bugesera

9th in table · 44 pts

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

39.9%Etincelles31.2%Draw29%Bugesera

Our prediction

Etincelles

Etincelles is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence39.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Etincelles 39.9%
  • Draw 31.2%
  • Bugesera 29%

Season statistics

National Soccer League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

EtincellesBugesera
Goals scored (avg)
1.41.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21
Wins
712
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Etincelles5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 17 OctEtincelles0 – 4MarinesL
  • 10 OctBugesera2 – 0EtincellesL
  • 15 SeptEtincelles1 – 0MusanzeW
  • 12 SeptGorilla0 – 1EtincellesW
  • 5 SeptEtincelles0 – 0SunriseD
Bugesera3W 1D 3L in last 7
  • 18 OctGasogi United0 – 2BugeseraW
  • 10 OctBugesera2 – 0EtincellesW
  • 15 SeptKiyovu Sports1 – 0BugeseraL
  • 30 MayRutsiro0 – 2BugeseraW
  • 26 MayRayon Sports2 – 0BugeseraL
H2H
Head to headEtincelles 2W · 3D · Bugesera 4W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 10 OctBugesera2 – 0Etincelles
  • 4 AprBugesera3 – 0Etincelles
  • 24 MayEtincelles0 – 1Bugesera
  • 21 SeptBugesera1 – 1Etincelles
  • 31 MarBugesera2 – 2Etincelles
  • 5 NovEtincelles3 – 2Bugesera

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals35.5% · 2.6264.5% · 1.44

Double chance

1X54.4%
X245.6%

Match result

Etincelles2.25
Draw2.88
Bugesera3.1

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance54.4%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance45.6%
Odds1.53

Etincelles

Chance39.9%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance31.2%
Odds2.88

Bugesera

Chance29%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Etincelles at 2.25

EtincellesBugesera
Recent form63%37%
Attack52%48%
Defence47%53%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall58%42%

Trends

Trend · National Soccer League

Etincelles scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · National Soccer League

Etincelles conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · National Soccer League

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · National Soccer League

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Etincelles vs Bugesera: prediction & preview

Rwanda · National Soccer League · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Etincelles meet Bugesera in the Rwanda, National Soccer League on 11 January 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Etincelles at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.44, about 64.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Etincelles vs Bugesera FAQs

4 questions

What time is Etincelles vs Bugesera?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Etincelles vs Bugesera?

Etincelles is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.62 and under 2.5 is 1.44.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.