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Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Switzerland · Challenge LeagueFri, 6 Mar 2026

Étoile Carouge

WDLDW

Fri, 6 Mar 202620:15

0 : 3

Full time

FC Aarau

WDLDW

Pre-match win probability

22.7%Étoile Carouge22.7%Draw54.7%FC Aarau

Our prediction

X2 · Étoile Carouge

Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau listed tip from the board.

Odds1.25
Confidence54.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Étoile Carouge 22.7%
  • Draw 22.7%
  • FC Aarau 54.7%

Season statistics

Challenge League · highlighted side is stronger

Étoile CarougeFC Aarau

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.8% · 17
1.5 goals26.1% · 1.176.8% · 4.5
2.5 goals19.5% · 1.5713% · 2.35
3.5 goals12.8% · 2.3820% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X39.6%
X260.4%

Match result

Étoile Carouge4.1
Draw4.1
FC Aarau1.7

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance39.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance60.4%
Odds1.25

Étoile Carouge

Chance22.7%
Odds4.1

Draw

Chance22.7%
Odds4.1

FC Aarau

Chance54.7%
Odds1.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.25

Étoile CarougeFC Aarau
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau: prediction & preview

Switzerland · Challenge League · Fri, 6 Mar 2026

Étoile Carouge meet FC Aarau in the Switzerland, Challenge League on 6 March 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Aarau at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau FAQs

4 questions

What time is Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 6 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau?

FC Aarau is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau prediction, H2H and stats