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Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · KNVB BekerWed, 17 Dec 2025

Excelsior Maassluis

WDDDL

Wed, 17 Dec 202518:45

2 : 7

Full time

Ajax

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

6.2%Excelsior Maassluis10.4%Draw83.4%Ajax

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Excelsior Maassluis

Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds1.03
Confidence83.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Excelsior Maassluis 6.2%
  • Draw 10.4%
  • Ajax 83.4%

Season statistics

KNVB Beker · highlighted side is stronger

Excelsior MaassluisAjax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.6% · 1.010.8% · 29
1.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
2.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
3.5 goals14.3% · 1.6711.4% · 2.1

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X14.7%
X285.3%

Match result

Excelsior Maassluis15
Draw9
Ajax1.12

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance14.7%
Odds6

X2

Chance85.3%
Odds1.03

Excelsior Maassluis

Chance6.2%
Odds15

Draw

Chance10.4%
Odds9

Ajax

Chance83.4%
Odds1.12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.03

Excelsior MaassluisAjax
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall7%93%

Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · KNVB Beker · Wed, 17 Dec 2025

Excelsior Maassluis meet Ajax in the Netherlands, KNVB Beker on 17 December 2025 at 18:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–7.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.12. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 83.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.25, about 76.2% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 18:45 on 17 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.12. The margin-adjusted share is about 83.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.25 and under 2.5 is 4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Excelsior Maassluis vs Ajax prediction, H2H and stats