Excelsior vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Excelsior

DDDLW

Sun, 1 Feb 202612:15

2 : 2

Full time

Ajax

LWWDL

Pre-match win probability

21.8%Excelsior24.2%Draw54%Ajax

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Excelsior

Excelsior vs Ajax listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence54%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Excelsior 21.8%
  • Draw 24.2%
  • Ajax 54%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

ExcelsiorAjax

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X38.5%
X261.5%

Match result

Excelsior4.33
Draw3.9
Ajax1.75

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

X2

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

Excelsior

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Draw

Chance24.2%
Odds3.9

Ajax

Chance54%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.22

ExcelsiorAjax
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Excelsior vs Ajax: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 1 Feb 2026

Excelsior meet Ajax in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 1 February 2026 at 12:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ajax at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Excelsior vs Ajax FAQs

4 questions

What time is Excelsior vs Ajax?

Kickoff is 12:15 on 1 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Excelsior vs Ajax?

Ajax is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Excelsior vs Ajax prediction, H2H and stats