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Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Netherlands · EredivisieSun, 11 Oct 2026

Excelsior

DLDWW

Sun, 11 Oct 202615:45

1 : 5

Full time

Groningen

WDDLL

Pre-match win probability

36.7%Excelsior26%Draw37.4%Groningen

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Excelsior

Excelsior vs Groningen listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Excelsior 36.7%
  • Draw 26%
  • Groningen 37.4%

Season statistics

Eredivisie · highlighted side is stronger

ExcelsiorGroningen

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.4% · 1.539.8% · 2.4
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Excelsior2.55
Draw3.6
Groningen2.5

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Excelsior

Chance36.7%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance26%
Odds3.6

Groningen

Chance37.4%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

ExcelsiorGroningen
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Excelsior vs Groningen: prediction & preview

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Excelsior meet Groningen in the Netherlands, Eredivisie on 11 October 2026 at 15:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Groningen at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Excelsior vs Groningen FAQs

4 questions

What time is Excelsior vs Groningen?

Kickoff is 15:45 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Excelsior vs Groningen?

Groningen is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Excelsior vs Groningen prediction, H2H and stats