Fafe vs Varzim Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Fafe

WLLDW

Sun, 4 Jan 202616:00

1 : 0

Full time

Varzim

LDWDD

Pre-match win probability

40.3%Fafe28.3%Draw31.4%Varzim

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Fafe

Fafe vs Varzim listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence40.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fafe 40.3%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • Varzim 31.4%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · highlighted side is stronger

FafeVarzim

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals42.9% · 2.257.1% · 1.65

Double chance

1X53.5%
X246.5%

Match result

Fafe2.25
Draw3.2
Varzim2.88

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance53.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance46.5%
Odds1.53

Fafe

Chance40.3%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.2

Varzim

Chance31.4%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

FafeVarzim
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Fafe vs Varzim: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sun, 4 Jan 2026

Fafe meet Varzim in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 4 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fafe at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fafe vs Varzim FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fafe vs Varzim?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 4 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fafe vs Varzim?

Fafe is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Fafe vs Varzim prediction, H2H and stats