Get Premium

Famalicao vs Arouca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaFri, 6 Mar 2026

Famalicao

DWLWL

Fri, 6 Mar 202621:15

1 : 0

Full time

Arouca

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

55.2%Famalicao26.1%Draw18.8%Arouca

Our prediction

1X · Famalicao

Famalicao vs Arouca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence55.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Famalicao 55.2%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • Arouca 18.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

FamalicaoArouca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X61.4%
X238.6%

Match result

Famalicao1.7
Draw3.6
Arouca5

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

Famalicao

Chance55.2%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.6

Arouca

Chance18.8%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.2

FamalicaoArouca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Famalicao vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Fri, 6 Mar 2026

Famalicao meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 6 March 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Famalicao at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Famalicao vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Famalicao vs Arouca?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 6 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Famalicao vs Arouca?

Famalicao is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Famalicao vs Arouca prediction, H2H and stats