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Farense vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalWed, 17 Dec 2025

Farense

WWWWL

Wed, 17 Dec 202521:45

0 : 2

Full time

Benfica

LWWWW

Pre-match win probability

14.6%Farense20.3%Draw65.1%Benfica

Our prediction

Away · Farense

Farense vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence65.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Farense 14.6%
  • Draw 20.3%
  • Benfica 65.1%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FarenseBenfica
Goals scored (avg)
1.82.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
10.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Farense6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctFarense1 – 4PenafielL
  • 17 OctFarense3 – 0AD Marco 09W
  • 11 OctFarense2 – 1FeirenseW
  • 4 OctFarense4 – 0ChavesW
  • 20 SeptSacavenense0 – 1FarenseW
Benfica9W 0D 1L in last 10
  • 26 OctSanta Clara1 – 2BenficaW
  • 22 OctOmonia Nicosia1 – 4BenficaW
  • 15 OctBenfica4 – 1CelticW
  • 11 OctBenfica2 – 0Vitória SCW
  • 20 SeptFC Porto3 – 1BenficaL
H2H
Head to headFarense 0W · 2D · Benfica 7W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 2 AprBenfica3 – 2Farense
  • 14 JanFarense1 – 3Benfica
  • 2 NovFarense1 – 2Benfica
  • 12 JulBenfica5 – 0Farense
  • 22 AprFarense1 – 3Benfica
  • 8 DecBenfica1 – 1Farense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.5% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X24.1%
X275.9%

Match result

Farense6.25
Draw4.5
Benfica1.4

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance24.1%
Odds3.4

X2

Chance75.9%
Odds1.08

Farense

Chance14.6%
Odds6.25

Draw

Chance20.3%
Odds4.5

Benfica

Chance65.1%
Odds1.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.4

FarenseBenfica
Recent form43%57%
Attack40%60%
Defence48%52%
Goals model40%60%
Head-to-head11%89%
Overall18%82%

Trends

Trend · Taça de Portugal

Farense scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Taça de Portugal

Farense conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Taça de Portugal

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Taça de Portugal

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Farense vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Wed, 17 Dec 2025

Farense meet Benfica in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 17 December 2025 at 21:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 65.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Farense vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Farense vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 21:45 on 17 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Farense vs Benfica?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 65.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.