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Farense vs Chaves Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 4 Oct 2026

Farense

WDLDW

Sun, 4 Oct 202611:00

4 : 0

Full time

Chaves

LWWLD

Pre-match win probability

40.5%Farense29.7%Draw29.7%Chaves

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Farense

Farense vs Chaves listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence40.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Farense 40.5%
  • Draw 29.7%
  • Chaves 29.7%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

FarenseChaves

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Farense2.2
Draw3
Chaves3

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Farense

Chance40.5%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance29.7%
Odds3

Chaves

Chance29.7%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

FarenseChaves
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Farense vs Chaves: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Farense meet Chaves in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 4 October 2026 at 11:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Farense at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Farense vs Chaves FAQs

4 questions

What time is Farense vs Chaves?

Kickoff is 11:00 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Farense vs Chaves?

Farense is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Farense vs Chaves prediction, H2H and stats