Farense vs Leixoes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 14 Feb 2026

Farense

16th in table · 40 pts

WWWWL

Sat, 14 Feb 202616:30

1 : 2

Full time

Leixoes

7th in table · 50 pts

Pre-match win probability

48.1%Farense28.5%Draw23.4%Leixoes

Our prediction

Farense

Farense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence48.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Farense 48.1%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Leixoes 23.4%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FarenseLeixoes
Goals scored (avg)
1.8–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–
Wins
1015
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Farense6W 2D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctFarense1 – 4PenafielL
  • 17 OctFarense3 – 0AD Marco 09W
  • 11 OctFarense2 – 1FeirenseW
  • 4 OctFarense4 – 0ChavesW
  • 20 SeptSacavenense0 – 1FarenseW
Leixoes0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headFarense 4W · 2D · Leixoes 3W · 2 goals a game
    • 13 SeptLeixoes0 – 2Farense
    • 5 MarFarense1 – 0Leixoes
    • 9 NovLeixoes3 – 1Farense
    • 11 SeptLeixoes0 – 1Farense
    • 17 JanFarense0 – 1Leixoes
    • 10 AugLeixoes3 – 1Farense

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
    1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
    2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
    3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4%
    No53.6%

    Double chance

    1X59.6%
    X240.4%

    Match result

    Farense1.9
    Draw3.2
    Leixoes3.9

    Both teams to score

    Yes46.4% · 2
    No53.6% · 1.73

    1X

    Chance59.6%
    Odds1.22

    X2

    Chance40.4%
    Odds1.8

    Farense

    Chance48.1%
    Odds1.9

    Draw

    Chance28.5%
    Odds3.2

    Leixoes

    Chance23.4%
    Odds3.9

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Farense at 1.9

    FarenseLeixoes
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack64%36%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model64%36%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall67%33%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Farense scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Farense conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Segunda Liga

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Farense vs Leixoes: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 14 Feb 2026

    Farense meet Leixoes in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 14 February 2026 at 16:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Farense at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Farense vs Leixoes FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Farense vs Leixoes?

    Kickoff is 16:30 on 14 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Farense vs Leixoes?

    Farense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.