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Farense vs Penafiel Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026

Farense

WWWWD

Sat, 24 Oct 202618:00

1 : 4

Full time

Penafiel

LLDWW

Pre-match win probability

46.9%Farense28.9%Draw24.2%Penafiel

Our prediction

Home · Farense

Farense vs Penafiel listed tip from the board.

Odds1.91
Confidence46.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Farense 46.9%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Penafiel 24.2%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

FarensePenafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0813.7% · 1.73
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Farense1.91
Draw3.1
Penafiel3.7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

Farense

Chance46.9%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.1

Penafiel

Chance24.2%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.91

FarensePenafiel
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Farense vs Penafiel: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Farense meet Penafiel in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Farense at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Farense vs Penafiel FAQs

4 questions

What time is Farense vs Penafiel?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Farense vs Penafiel?

Farense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.08 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Farense vs Penafiel prediction, H2H and stats