Get Premium

Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ethiopia · Premier LeagueWed, 6 May 2026

Fasil Ketema

LWDDL

Wed, 6 May 202613:00

0 : 2

Full time

Bahardar

Pre-match win probability

30.6%Fasil Ketema33.9%Draw35.5%Bahardar

Our prediction

Bahardar

Bahardar is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence35.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fasil Ketema 30.6%
  • Draw 33.9%
  • Bahardar 35.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Fasil KetemaBahardar
Goals scored (avg)
0.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.7–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fasil Ketema3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 24 OctHadiya Hosaena1 – 0Fasil KetemaL
  • 20 OctHalaba Ketema1 – 1Fasil KetemaD
  • 10 OctWelayta Dicha0 – 0Fasil KetemaD
  • 1 JulFasil Ketema1 – 0Ethiopian MedhinW
  • 26 JunKedus Giorgis1 – 0Fasil KetemaL
Bahardar0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headFasil Ketema 1W · 6D · Bahardar 2W · 0.8 goals a game
    • 24 DecBahardar0 – 0Fasil Ketema
    • 6 MarFasil Ketema0 – 0Bahardar
    • 9 FebBahardar2 – 1Fasil Ketema
    • 9 MayFasil Ketema0 – 0Bahardar
    • 3 NovBahardar0 – 0Fasil Ketema
    • 8 AprBahardar2 – 1Fasil Ketema

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals29% · 3.2571% · 1.33

    Double chance

    1X47.4%
    X252.6%

    Match result

    Fasil Ketema2.9
    Draw2.62
    Bahardar2.5

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance47.4%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance52.6%
    Odds1.3

    Fasil Ketema

    Chance30.6%
    Odds2.9

    Draw

    Chance33.9%
    Odds2.62

    Bahardar

    Chance35.5%
    Odds2.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Bahardar at 2.5

    Fasil KetemaBahardar
    Recent form92%8%
    Attack41%59%
    Defence70%30%
    Goals model41%59%
    Head-to-head44%56%
    Overall46%54%

    Trends

    Trend · Premier League

    Fasil Ketema scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premier League

    Fasil Ketema conceded 0.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Premier League

    Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

    Trend · Premier League

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

    Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar: prediction & preview

    Ethiopia · Premier League · Wed, 6 May 2026

    Fasil Ketema meet Bahardar in the Ethiopia, Premier League on 6 May 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bahardar at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.33, about 71% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?

    Kickoff is 13:00 on 6 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?

    Bahardar is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 3.25 and under 2.5 is 1.33.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.