Fazendense vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Fazendense

Sat, 17 Oct 202615:30

1 : 2

Full time

Estrela

Pre-match win probability

4.9%Fazendense10.3%Draw84.9%Estrela

Our prediction

Estrela

Estrela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.09
Confidence84.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fazendense 4.9%
  • Draw 10.3%
  • Estrela 84.9%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

FazendenseEstrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X11.3%
X288.7%

Match result

Fazendense19
Draw9
Estrela1.09

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance11.3%
Odds8

X2

Chance88.7%
Odds1.02

Fazendense

Chance4.9%
Odds19

Draw

Chance10.3%
Odds9

Estrela

Chance84.9%
Odds1.09

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Estrela at 1.09

FazendenseEstrela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall5%95%

Fazendense vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

Fazendense meet Estrela in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Estrela at 1.09. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 84.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fazendense vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fazendense vs Estrela?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fazendense vs Estrela?

Estrela is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.09. The margin-adjusted share is about 84.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Fazendense vs Estrela prediction, H2H and stats