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FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónSun, 23 Aug 2026

FBC Melgar

WLDWW

Sun, 23 Aug 202621:30

1 : 1

Full time

Alianza Lima

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

48.7%FBC Melgar29.1%Draw22.2%Alianza Lima

Our prediction

Away or Draw · FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence48.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FBC Melgar 48.7%
  • Draw 29.1%
  • Alianza Lima 22.2%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

FBC MelgarAlianza Lima

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3515% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X55.9%
X244.1%

Match result

FBC Melgar1.91
Draw3.2
Alianza Lima4.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance55.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.1%
Odds1.62

FBC Melgar

Chance48.7%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance29.1%
Odds3.2

Alianza Lima

Chance22.2%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.62

FBC MelgarAlianza Lima
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Sun, 23 Aug 2026

FBC Melgar meet Alianza Lima in the Peru, Primera División on 23 August 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FBC Melgar at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima FAQs

4 questions

What time is FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 23 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima?

FBC Melgar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima prediction, H2H and stats