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FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWestSat, 11 Apr 2026

FC 08 Homburg

WWLWD

Sat, 11 Apr 202613:00

2 : 1

Full time

SGV Freiberg

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

39.1%FC 08 Homburg25%Draw36%SGV Freiberg

Our prediction

Away or Draw · FC 08 Homburg

FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC 08 Homburg 39.1%
  • Draw 25%
  • SGV Freiberg 36%

Season statistics

Regionalliga - SudWest · highlighted side is stronger

FC 08 HomburgSGV Freiberg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.8% · 17
1.5 goals26.1% · 1.176.8% · 4.5
2.5 goals19.4% · 1.5713% · 2.35
3.5 goals13.6% · 2.2519.4% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X51%
X249%

Match result

FC 08 Homburg2.3
Draw3.6
SGV Freiberg2.5

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance51%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance49%
Odds1.5

FC 08 Homburg

Chance39.1%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.6

SGV Freiberg

Chance36%
Odds2.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.5

FC 08 HomburgSGV Freiberg
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg: prediction & preview

Germany · Regionalliga - SudWest · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

FC 08 Homburg meet SGV Freiberg in the Germany, Regionalliga - SudWest on 11 April 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC 08 Homburg at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg?

FC 08 Homburg is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC 08 Homburg vs SGV Freiberg prediction, H2H and stats