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FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Switzerland · Challenge LeagueFri, 12 Dec 2025

FC Aarau

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Fri, 12 Dec 202520:15

2 : 1

Full time

Étoile Carouge

DLLDW

Pre-match win probability

60.4%FC Aarau21.8%Draw17.9%Étoile Carouge

Our prediction

Draw · FC Aarau

FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge listed tip from the board.

Odds4.1
Confidence60.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Aarau 60.4%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Étoile Carouge 17.9%

Season statistics

Challenge League · highlighted side is stronger

FC AarauÉtoile Carouge

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.032.3% · 10
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes51.5%
No48.5%

Double chance

1X68.4%
X231.6%

Match result

FC Aarau1.48
Draw4.1
Étoile Carouge5

Both teams to score

Yes51.5% · 1.8
No48.5% · 1.91

1X

Chance68.4%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance31.6%
Odds2.4

FC Aarau

Chance60.4%
Odds1.48

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.1

Étoile Carouge

Chance17.9%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.1

FC AarauÉtoile Carouge
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall77%23%

FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge: prediction & preview

Switzerland · Challenge League · Fri, 12 Dec 2025

FC Aarau meet Étoile Carouge in the Switzerland, Challenge League on 12 December 2025 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Aarau at 1.48. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 60.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 12 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge?

FC Aarau is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.48. The margin-adjusted share is about 60.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Aarau vs Étoile Carouge prediction, H2H and stats