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FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Peru · Primera DivisiónSat, 21 Feb 2026

FC Cajamarca

Sat, 21 Feb 202619:00

3 : 1

Full time

FBC Melgar

Pre-match win probability

23.2%FC Cajamarca27.9%Draw48.9%FBC Melgar

Our prediction

FBC Melgar

FBC Melgar is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.85
Confidence48.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Cajamarca 23.2%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • FBC Melgar 48.9%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

FC CajamarcaFBC Melgar

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X40.4%
X259.6%

Match result

FC Cajamarca3.9
Draw3.25
FBC Melgar1.85

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

FC Cajamarca

Chance23.2%
Odds3.9

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.25

FBC Melgar

Chance48.9%
Odds1.85

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: FBC Melgar at 1.85

FC CajamarcaFBC Melgar
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall32%68%

FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar: prediction & preview

Peru · Primera División · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

FC Cajamarca meet FBC Melgar in the Peru, Primera División on 21 February 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FBC Melgar at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar?

FBC Melgar is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar prediction, H2H and stats