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FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · 3. LigaWed, 4 Mar 2026

FC Ingolstadt 04

LWDDW

Wed, 4 Mar 202619:00

0 : 0

Full time

MSV Duisburg

DWLWL

Pre-match win probability

38.7%FC Ingolstadt 0427.1%Draw34.1%MSV Duisburg

Our prediction

Home or Draw · FC Ingolstadt 04

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence38.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Ingolstadt 04 38.7%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • MSV Duisburg 34.1%

Season statistics

3. Liga · highlighted side is stronger

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

FC Ingolstadt 042.38
Draw3.4
MSV Duisburg2.7

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

FC Ingolstadt 04

Chance38.7%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.4

MSV Duisburg

Chance34.1%
Odds2.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.4

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall53%47%

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg: prediction & preview

Germany · 3. Liga · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

FC Ingolstadt 04 meet MSV Duisburg in the Germany, 3. Liga on 4 March 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Ingolstadt 04 at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

FC Ingolstadt 04 is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg prediction, H2H and stats