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FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · 3. LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026

FC Ingolstadt 04

Sat, 24 Oct 202613:00

2 : 1

Full time

MSV Duisburg

Pre-match win probability

30.6%FC Ingolstadt 0426.1%Draw43.3%MSV Duisburg

Our prediction

MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence43.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Ingolstadt 04 30.6%
  • Draw 26.1%
  • MSV Duisburg 43.3%

Season statistics

3. Liga · highlighted side is stronger

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

FC Ingolstadt 042.9
Draw3.4
MSV Duisburg2.05

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

FC Ingolstadt 04

Chance30.6%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance26.1%
Odds3.4

MSV Duisburg

Chance43.3%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: MSV Duisburg at 2.05

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg: prediction & preview

Germany · 3. Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

FC Ingolstadt 04 meet MSV Duisburg in the Germany, 3. Liga on 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is MSV Duisburg at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg prediction, H2H and stats