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FC Lugano vs FC Sion Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Switzerland · Super LeagueWed, 4 Mar 2026

FC Lugano

LWDDD

Wed, 4 Mar 202620:30

2 : 1

Full time

FC Sion

DWLWD

Pre-match win probability

44.7%FC Lugano28.5%Draw26.8%FC Sion

Our prediction

Away or Draw · FC Lugano

FC Lugano vs FC Sion listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence44.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Lugano 44.7%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • FC Sion 26.8%

Season statistics

Super League · highlighted side is stronger

FC LuganoFC Sion

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

FC Lugano2.1
Draw3.3
FC Sion3.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.7

FC Lugano

Chance44.7%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

FC Sion

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.7

FC LuganoFC Sion
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall63%37%

FC Lugano vs FC Sion: prediction & preview

Switzerland · Super League · Wed, 4 Mar 2026

FC Lugano meet FC Sion in the Switzerland, Super League on 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Lugano at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Lugano vs FC Sion FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Lugano vs FC Sion?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 4 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Lugano vs FC Sion?

FC Lugano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Lugano vs FC Sion prediction, H2H and stats