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FC Lugano vs FC Thun Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Switzerland · Super LeagueSat, 4 Apr 2026

FC Lugano

Sat, 4 Apr 202617:00

1 : 0

Full time

FC Thun

LLDLL

Pre-match win probability

37.4%FC Lugano26%Draw36.7%FC Thun

Our prediction

FC Lugano

FC Lugano is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.5
Confidence37.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Lugano 37.4%
  • Draw 26%
  • FC Thun 36.7%

Season statistics

Super League · highlighted side is stronger

FC LuganoFC Thun
Goals scored (avg)
–1.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Lugano0W 0D 0L in last 0
    FC Thun2W 1D 7L in last 10
    • 25 OctFC Thun2 – 3FC LuganoL
    • 22 OctFC Thun0 – 1HNK Hajduk SplitL
    • 18 OctFC Schaffhausen2 – 2FC ThunD
    • 15 OctTwente1 – 0FC ThunL
    • 10 OctFC Zurich4 – 2FC ThunL
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
    2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
    3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5%
    No37.5%

    Double chance

    1X51.5%
    X248.5%

    Match result

    FC Lugano2.5
    Draw3.6
    FC Thun2.55

    Both teams to score

    Yes62.5% · 1.5
    No37.5% · 2.5

    1X

    Chance51.5%
    Odds1.44

    X2

    Chance48.5%
    Odds1.53

    FC Lugano

    Chance37.4%
    Odds2.5

    Draw

    Chance26%
    Odds3.6

    FC Thun

    Chance36.7%
    Odds2.55

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: FC Lugano at 2.5

    FC LuganoFC Thun
    Recent form13%87%
    Attack42%58%
    Defence50%50%
    Goals model42%58%
    Overall50%50%

    Trends

    Trend · Super League

    FC Thun scored 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Super League

    FC Thun conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Super League

    Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

    Trend · Super League

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    FC Lugano vs FC Thun: prediction & preview

    Switzerland · Super League · Sat, 4 Apr 2026

    FC Lugano meet FC Thun in the Switzerland, Super League on 4 April 2026 at 17:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Lugano at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    FC Lugano vs FC Thun FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is FC Lugano vs FC Thun?

    Kickoff is 17:00 on 4 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on FC Lugano vs FC Thun?

    FC Lugano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.4%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

    FC Lugano vs FC Thun prediction, H2H and stats