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FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa Conference LeagueThu, 15 Oct 2026

FC Lugano

Thu, 15 Oct 202617:45

3 : 2

Full time

FK Crvena Zvezda

Pre-match win probability

44%FC Lugano25.5%Draw30.5%FK Crvena Zvezda

Our prediction

FC Lugano

FC Lugano is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence44%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Lugano 44%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • FK Crvena Zvezda 30.5%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa Conference League · highlighted side is stronger

FC LuganoFK Crvena Zvezda

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20% · 1.185.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.6% · 1.6210.5% · 2.25
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

FC Lugano2.15
Draw3.7
FK Crvena Zvezda3.1

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

FC Lugano

Chance44%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.7

FK Crvena Zvezda

Chance30.5%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: FC Lugano at 2.15

FC LuganoFK Crvena Zvezda
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 15 Oct 2026

FC Lugano meet FK Crvena Zvezda in the World, UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Lugano at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

Kickoff is 17:45 on 15 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

FC Lugano is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction, H2H and stats