FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Denmark · DBU PokalenSun, 8 Mar 2026

FC Midtjylland

WDWLW

Sun, 8 Mar 202618:00

1 : 1

Full time

Aarhus

WLDDW

Pre-match win probability

49.3%FC Midtjylland24.7%Draw26%Aarhus

Our prediction

FC Midtjylland

FC Midtjylland is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence49.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Midtjylland 49.3%
  • Draw 24.7%
  • Aarhus 26%

Season statistics

DBU Pokalen · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC MidtjyllandAarhus
Goals scored (avg)
2.41.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.2

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Midtjylland6W 3D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctFC Midtjylland3 – 2LyngbyW
  • 22 OctFC Midtjylland0 – 1St. TruidenL
  • 19 OctViborg1 – 2FC MidtjyllandW
  • 15 OctEgnatia Rrogozhinë1 – 1FC MidtjyllandD
  • 11 OctFC Midtjylland2 – 1FC CopenhagenW
Aarhus4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctAarhus2 – 1ViborgW
  • 22 OctAarhus1 – 1Egnatia RrogozhinëD
  • 18 OctFC Copenhagen1 – 1AarhusD
  • 15 OctGent1 – 0AarhusL
  • 12 OctAarhus3 – 0SonderjyskeW
H2H
Head to headFC Midtjylland 5W · 4D · Aarhus 0W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 2 SeptAarhus0 – 2FC Midtjylland
  • 26 AprAarhus0 – 0FC Midtjylland
  • 20 AprFC Midtjylland2 – 1Aarhus
  • 12 FebAarhus0 – 1FC Midtjylland
  • 3 NovFC Midtjylland1 – 1Aarhus
  • 3 AugAarhus0 – 0FC Midtjylland

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.711.2% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X59.9%
X240.1%

Match result

FC Midtjylland1.9
Draw3.8
Aarhus3.6

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance59.9%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance40.1%
Odds1.91

FC Midtjylland

Chance49.3%
Odds1.9

Draw

Chance24.7%
Odds3.8

Aarhus

Chance26%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: FC Midtjylland at 1.9

FC MidtjyllandAarhus
Recent form57%43%
Attack56%44%
Defence53%47%
Goals model56%44%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall65%35%

Trends

Trend · DBU Pokalen

FC Midtjylland scored 2.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · DBU Pokalen

FC Midtjylland conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · DBU Pokalen

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · DBU Pokalen

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus: prediction & preview

Denmark · DBU Pokalen · Sun, 8 Mar 2026

FC Midtjylland meet Aarhus in the Denmark, DBU Pokalen on 8 March 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Midtjylland at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 8 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Midtjylland vs Aarhus?

FC Midtjylland is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.7 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.