FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

FC Porto

WWWWW

Wed, 14 Jan 202621:45

1 : 0

Full time

Benfica

LWDWW

Pre-match win probability

44.2%FC Porto28.5%Draw27.3%Benfica

Our prediction

Home · FC Porto

FC Porto vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds2.1
Confidence44.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Porto 44.2%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Benfica 27.3%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

FC PortoBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.6% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X57%
X243%

Match result

FC Porto2.1
Draw3.25
Benfica3.4

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance57%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance43%
Odds1.7

FC Porto

Chance44.2%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.25

Benfica

Chance27.3%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.1

FC PortoBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall62%38%

FC Porto vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Wed, 14 Jan 2026

FC Porto meet Benfica in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 14 January 2026 at 21:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Porto at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Porto vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Porto vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 21:45 on 14 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Porto vs Benfica?

FC Porto is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Porto vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats