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FC Porto vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 20 Sept 2026

FC Porto

WLWWW

Sun, 20 Sept 202620:30

3 : 1

Full time

Benfica

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

32.4%FC Porto28.5%Draw39.1%Benfica

Our prediction

Away · FC Porto

FC Porto vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds2.4
Confidence39.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Porto 32.4%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Benfica 39.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

FC PortoBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

FC Porto2.9
Draw3.3
Benfica2.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

FC Porto

Chance32.4%
Odds2.9

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

Benfica

Chance39.1%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2.4

FC PortoBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall45%55%

FC Porto vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

FC Porto meet Benfica in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 20 September 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Porto vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Porto vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Porto vs Benfica?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Porto vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats