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FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 17 Oct 2026

FC Schalke 04

16th in table · 6 pts

DWWLD

Sat, 17 Oct 202614:30

0 : 1

Full time

FSV Mainz 05

7th in table · 10 pts

WWLLL

Pre-match win probability

32.1%FC Schalke 0426%Draw41.9%FSV Mainz 05

Our prediction

Home or Draw · FC Schalke 04

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Schalke 04 32.1%
  • Draw 26%
  • FSV Mainz 05 41.9%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
Goals scored (avg)
1.73
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.7
Wins
13
Played
77

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Schalke 044W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 24 Oct1. FC Köln0 – 0FC Schalke 04D
  • 11 OctSC Freiburg2 – 1FC Schalke 04L
  • 3 OctAustria Lustenau0 – 1FC Schalke 04W
  • 24 SeptRot-weiss Oberhausen2 – 5FC Schalke 04W
  • 20 SeptFC Schalke 040 – 0SV ElversbergD
FSV Mainz 054W 1D 4L in last 9
  • 27 OctVfL Bochum2 – 0FSV Mainz 05L
  • 24 OctFSV Mainz 052 – 3Werder BremenL
  • 10 OctFSV Mainz 053 – 4Bayer LeverkusenL
  • 3 OctWaldhof Mannheim0 – 3FSV Mainz 05W
  • 19 SeptBorussia Mönchengladbach3 – 4FSV Mainz 05W
H2H
Head to headFC Schalke 04 5W · 3D · FSV Mainz 05 1W · 2 goals a game
  • 5 MayFSV Mainz 052 – 3FC Schalke 04
  • 9 NovFC Schalke 041 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 5 MarFC Schalke 040 – 0FSV Mainz 05
  • 7 NovFSV Mainz 052 – 2FC Schalke 04
  • 16 FebFSV Mainz 050 – 0FC Schalke 04
  • 20 SeptFC Schalke 042 – 1FSV Mainz 05

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

FC Schalke 043
Draw3.7
FSV Mainz 052.3

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

FC Schalke 04

Chance32.1%
Odds3

Draw

Chance26%
Odds3.7

FSV Mainz 05

Chance41.9%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.57

FC Schalke 04FSV Mainz 05
Recent form54%46%
Attack36%64%
Defence59%41%
Goals model36%64%
Head-to-head72%28%
Overall43%57%

Trends

Trend · Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04 scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04 conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

Trend · Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 17 Oct 2026

FC Schalke 04 meet FSV Mainz 05 in the Germany, Bundesliga on 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FSV Mainz 05 at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 17 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?

FSV Mainz 05 is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.