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FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 11 Apr 2026

FC St. Pauli

DLLDW

Sat, 11 Apr 202617:30

0 : 5

Full time

Bayern München

WWWWD

Pre-match win probability

11.8%FC St. Pauli19.9%Draw68.4%Bayern München

Our prediction

Away · FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München listed tip from the board.

Odds1.38
Confidence68.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC St. Pauli 11.8%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Bayern München 68.4%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

FC St. PauliBayern München

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X26.5%
X273.5%

Match result

FC St. Pauli8
Draw4.75
Bayern München1.38

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance26.5%
Odds3

X2

Chance73.5%
Odds1.08

FC St. Pauli

Chance11.8%
Odds8

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Bayern München

Chance68.4%
Odds1.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.38

FC St. PauliBayern München
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall15%85%

FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

FC St. Pauli meet Bayern München in the Germany, Bundesliga on 11 April 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bayern München at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München prediction, H2H and stats