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FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSun, 22 Mar 2026

FC St. Pauli

LDWWL

Sun, 22 Mar 202617:30

1 : 2

Full time

SC Freiburg

WLLDL

Pre-match win probability

35.6%FC St. Pauli31%Draw33.4%SC Freiburg

Our prediction

Away or Draw · FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence35.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC St. Pauli 35.6%
  • Draw 31%
  • SC Freiburg 33.4%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

FC St. PauliSC Freiburg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
2.5 goals10% · 2.3815.1% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.7% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

FC St. Pauli2.7
Draw3.1
SC Freiburg2.88

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.4

FC St. Pauli

Chance35.6%
Odds2.7

Draw

Chance31%
Odds3.1

SC Freiburg

Chance33.4%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.4

FC St. PauliSC Freiburg
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall52%48%

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sun, 22 Mar 2026

FC St. Pauli meet SC Freiburg in the Germany, Bundesliga on 22 March 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC St. Pauli at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 22 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg?

FC St. Pauli is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.38 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg prediction, H2H and stats