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FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · BundesligaSat, 16 May 2026

FC St. Pauli

LLLDL

Sat, 16 May 202614:30

1 : 3

Full time

VfL Wolfsburg

LDDWL

Pre-match win probability

36%FC St. Pauli26.5%Draw37.5%VfL Wolfsburg

Our prediction

Away or Draw · FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence37.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC St. Pauli 36%
  • Draw 26.5%
  • VfL Wolfsburg 37.5%

Season statistics

Bundesliga · highlighted side is stronger

FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X48.5%
X251.5%

Match result

FC St. Pauli2.5
Draw3.4
VfL Wolfsburg2.4

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

X2

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

FC St. Pauli

Chance36%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance26.5%
Odds3.4

VfL Wolfsburg

Chance37.5%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.44

FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall49%51%

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction & preview

Germany · Bundesliga · Sat, 16 May 2026

FC St. Pauli meet VfL Wolfsburg in the Germany, Bundesliga on 16 May 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is VfL Wolfsburg at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?

VfL Wolfsburg is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction, H2H and stats