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FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Germany · 2. BundesligaSat, 12 Sept 2026

FC St. Pauli

7th in table · 12 pts

DDWDD

Sat, 12 Sept 202619:30

1 : 0

Full time

VfL Wolfsburg

4th in table · 16 pts

WWDWD

Pre-match win probability

38.9%FC St. Pauli25.7%Draw35.4%VfL Wolfsburg

Our prediction

FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence38.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC St. Pauli 38.9%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • VfL Wolfsburg 35.4%

Season statistics

2. Bundesliga · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
Goals scored (avg)
1.13.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.9
Wins
24
Played
99

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC St. Pauli1W 6D 2L in last 9
  • 23 OctSV Darmstadt 980 – 0FC St. PauliD
  • 17 OctHannover 961 – 1FC St. PauliD
  • 11 OctFC St. Pauli2 – 0Karlsruher SCW
  • 3 OctFC St. Pauli1 – 1Borussia MönchengladbachD
  • 20 SeptEnergie Cottbus1 – 1FC St. PauliD
VfL Wolfsburg5W 4D 0L in last 9
  • 23 OctVfL Bochum1 – 1VfL WolfsburgD
  • 17 OctVfL Wolfsburg3 – 11. FC HeidenheimW
  • 10 Oct1. FC Nürnberg4 – 4VfL WolfsburgD
  • 1 OctVfL Wolfsburg4 – 1HavelseW
  • 18 SeptVfL Wolfsburg5 – 1SV Darmstadt 98W
H2H
Head to headFC St. Pauli 0W · 4D · VfL Wolfsburg 2W · 2.5 goals a game
  • 16 MayFC St. Pauli1 – 3VfL Wolfsburg
  • 14 JanVfL Wolfsburg2 – 1FC St. Pauli
  • 8 MarVfL Wolfsburg1 – 1FC St. Pauli
  • 26 OctFC St. Pauli0 – 0VfL Wolfsburg
  • 16 AprVfL Wolfsburg2 – 2FC St. Pauli
  • 21 NovFC St. Pauli1 – 1VfL Wolfsburg

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15% · 1.5710% · 2.35
3.5 goals10.5% · 2.2515% · 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X51.5%
X248.5%

Match result

FC St. Pauli2.38
Draw3.6
VfL Wolfsburg2.62

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance51.5%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance48.5%
Odds1.53

FC St. Pauli

Chance38.9%
Odds2.38

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.6

VfL Wolfsburg

Chance35.4%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: FC St. Pauli at 2.38

FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg
Recent form32%68%
Attack25%75%
Defence62%38%
Goals model25%75%
Head-to-head33%67%
Overall52%48%

Trends

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · 2. Bundesliga

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction & preview

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · Sat, 12 Sept 2026

FC St. Pauli meet VfL Wolfsburg in the Germany, 2. Bundesliga on 12 September 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC St. Pauli at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 12 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?

FC St. Pauli is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.