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FC Thun vs Lech Poznan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 27 Aug 2026

FC Thun

Thu, 27 Aug 202619:00

2 : 2

Full time

Lech Poznan

Pre-match win probability

38.3%FC Thun23%Draw38.7%Lech Poznan

Our prediction

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence38.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Thun 38.3%
  • Draw 23%
  • Lech Poznan 38.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

FC ThunLech Poznan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.022.2% · 10.5
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.539.8% · 2.38
3.5 goals9.8% · 2.3815.2% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X48.9%
X251.1%

Match result

FC Thun2.4
Draw4
Lech Poznan2.38

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance48.9%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance51.1%
Odds1.5

FC Thun

Chance38.3%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance23%
Odds4

Lech Poznan

Chance38.7%
Odds2.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Lech Poznan at 2.38

FC ThunLech Poznan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

FC Thun vs Lech Poznan: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 27 Aug 2026

FC Thun meet Lech Poznan in the World, UEFA Europa League on 27 August 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Lech Poznan at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 60.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Thun vs Lech Poznan FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 27 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Thun vs Lech Poznan?

Lech Poznan is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

FC Thun vs Lech Poznan prediction, H2H and stats