Get Premium

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Switzerland · Challenge LeagueFri, 18 Sept 2026

FC Winterthur

3rd in table · 21 pts

WWLLW

Fri, 18 Sept 202619:15

2 : 1

Full time

FC Aarau

6th in table · 12 pts

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

45.9%FC Winterthur23.5%Draw30.6%FC Aarau

Our prediction

1X · FC Winterthur

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau listed tip from the board.

Odds1.36
Confidence45.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • FC Winterthur 45.9%
  • Draw 23.5%
  • FC Aarau 30.6%

Season statistics

Challenge League · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FC WinterthurFC Aarau
Goals scored (avg)
2.61.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.9
Wins
63
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

FC Winterthur5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 23 OctFC Winterthur4 – 0Stade NyonnaisW
  • 17 OctFC Winterthur0 – 1FC LuzernL
  • 9 OctNeuchatel Xamax FC3 – 0FC WinterthurL
  • 3 OctFC Winterthur7 – 3FC Basel 1893W
  • 30 SeptSeuzach1 – 4FC WinterthurW
FC Aarau3W 2D 4L in last 9
  • 24 OctFC Aarau1 – 2Étoile CarougeL
  • 18 OctFC Aarau2 – 0FC ZurichW
  • 9 OctStade Nyonnais2 – 1FC AarauL
  • 2 OctFC Aarau1 – 2BSC Young BoysL
  • 24 SeptGrasshoppers4 – 1FC AarauL
H2H
Head to headFC Winterthur 4W · 3D · FC Aarau 2W · 2.8 goals a game
  • 17 SeptFC Aarau1 – 2FC Winterthur
  • 8 JulFC Winterthur2 – 0FC Aarau
  • 8 AprFC Aarau0 – 3FC Winterthur
  • 11 MarFC Winterthur4 – 2FC Aarau
  • 3 DecFC Aarau2 – 0FC Winterthur
  • 24 SeptFC Winterthur0 – 0FC Aarau

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.022.1% · 11
1.5 goals20.5% · 1.144.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.59.3% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.6% · 2.214.4% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X56%
X244%

Match result

FC Winterthur2
Draw3.9
FC Aarau3

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance56%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance44%
Odds1.73

FC Winterthur

Chance45.9%
Odds2

Draw

Chance23.5%
Odds3.9

FC Aarau

Chance30.6%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.36

FC WinterthurFC Aarau
Recent form61%39%
Attack60%40%
Defence62%38%
Goals model60%40%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Challenge League

FC Winterthur scored 2.6 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Challenge League

FC Winterthur conceded 1.2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Challenge League

Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Challenge League

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau: prediction & preview

Switzerland · Challenge League · Fri, 18 Sept 2026

FC Winterthur meet FC Aarau in the Switzerland, Challenge League on 18 September 2026 at 19:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is FC Winterthur at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau FAQs

4 questions

What time is FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?

Kickoff is 19:15 on 18 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?

FC Winterthur is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.