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Ferroviária vs Ituano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Paulista - A2Thu, 30 Apr 2026

Ferroviária

2nd in table · 28 pts

DLWDL

Thu, 30 Apr 202623:00

1 : 1

Live

Ituano

3rd in table · 28 pts

LWLLL

Pre-match win probability

41.9%Ferroviária30%Draw28.1%Ituano

Our prediction

Ferroviária

Ferroviária is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.15
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ferroviária 41.9%
  • Draw 30%
  • Ituano 28.1%

Season statistics

Paulista - A2 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FerroviáriaItuano
Goals scored (avg)
1.30.5
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.1
Wins
88
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ferroviária4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctFerroviária1 – 2MaringáL
  • 17 OctMaringá1 – 1FerroviáriaD
  • 11 OctFerroviária2 – 0Inter De LimeiraW
  • 3 OctPaysandu1 – 0FerroviáriaL
  • 27 SeptBrusque1 – 1FerroviáriaD
Ituano1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 29 AugFloresta2 – 0ItuanoL
  • 22 AugItuano0 – 1PaysanduL
  • 15 AugVolta Redonda1 – 0ItuanoL
  • 8 AugItuano2 – 0BarraW
  • 26 JulBrusque1 – 0ItuanoL
H2H
Head to headFerroviária 5W · 2D · Ituano 2W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 12 JulItuano1 – 3Ferroviária
  • 23 AprItuano0 – 1Ferroviária
  • 17 JanItuano1 – 1Ferroviária
  • 19 MarItuano3 – 1Ferroviária
  • 15 MarFerroviária2 – 0Ituano
  • 22 JanFerroviária3 – 1Ituano

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals37.5% · 2.562.5% · 1.5

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Ferroviária2.15
Draw3
Ituano3.2

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.57

Ferroviária

Chance41.9%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance30%
Odds3

Ituano

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Ferroviária at 2.15

FerroviáriaItuano
Recent form71%29%
Attack72%28%
Defence50%50%
Goals model72%28%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall60%40%

Trends

Trend · Paulista - A2

Ferroviária scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Paulista - A2

Ferroviária conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Paulista - A2

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Paulista - A2

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Ferroviária vs Ituano: prediction & preview

Brazil · Paulista - A2 · Thu, 30 Apr 2026

Ferroviária meet Ituano in the Brazil, Paulista - A2 on 30 April 2026 at 23:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ferroviária at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ferroviária vs Ituano FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ferroviária vs Ituano?

Kickoff is 23:00 on 30 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ferroviária vs Ituano?

Ferroviária is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.