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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AFri, 22 May 2026

Fiorentina

15th in table · 42 pts

WDLLL

Fri, 22 May 202619:45

1 : 1

Full time

Atalanta

7th in table · 59 pts

LWDLD

Pre-match win probability

32.7%Fiorentina27.1%Draw40.3%Atalanta

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Fiorentina

Fiorentina vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence40.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fiorentina 32.7%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Atalanta 40.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FiorentinaAtalanta
Goals scored (avg)
1.6–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
2–
Wins
915
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fiorentina3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 25 OctInter2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 18 OctFiorentina1 – 3ComoL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 15 SeptFiorentina3 – 0PisaW
Atalanta0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headFiorentina 4W · 1D · Atalanta 4W · 3 goals a game
    • 30 NovAtalanta2 – 0Fiorentina
    • 30 MarFiorentina1 – 0Atalanta
    • 15 SeptAtalanta3 – 2Fiorentina
    • 2 JunAtalanta2 – 3Fiorentina
    • 24 AprAtalanta4 – 1Fiorentina
    • 3 AprFiorentina1 – 0Atalanta

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
    1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
    2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
    3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9%
    No39.1%

    Double chance

    1X47.8%
    X252.2%

    Match result

    Fiorentina2.9
    Draw3.5
    Atalanta2.35

    Both teams to score

    Yes60.9% · 1.53
    No39.1% · 2.38

    1X

    Chance47.8%
    Odds1.53

    X2

    Chance52.2%
    Odds1.4

    Fiorentina

    Chance32.7%
    Odds2.9

    Draw

    Chance27.1%
    Odds3.5

    Atalanta

    Chance40.3%
    Odds2.35

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.4

    FiorentinaAtalanta
    Recent form91%9%
    Attack62%38%
    Defence50%50%
    Goals model62%38%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall45%55%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Fiorentina scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Fiorentina conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

    Fiorentina vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie A · Fri, 22 May 2026

    Fiorentina meet Atalanta in the Italy, Serie A on 22 May 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Fiorentina vs Atalanta FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 22 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Fiorentina vs Atalanta?

    Atalanta is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.