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Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 26 Oct 2025

Fiorentina

15th in table · 42 pts

WDLLL

Sun, 26 Oct 202518:00

2 : 2

Full time

Bologna

8th in table · 56 pts

LDWLW

Pre-match win probability

35.5%Fiorentina30.3%Draw34.2%Bologna

Our prediction

Fiorentina

Fiorentina is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.77
Confidence35.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fiorentina 35.5%
  • Draw 30.3%
  • Bologna 34.2%

Season statistics

Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

FiorentinaBologna
Goals scored (avg)
1.60.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.5
Wins
916
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Fiorentina3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 25 OctInter2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 18 OctFiorentina1 – 3ComoL
  • 10 OctGenoa2 – 1FiorentinaL
  • 20 SeptFiorentina1 – 1NapoliD
  • 15 SeptFiorentina3 – 0PisaW
Bologna2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctCagliari0 – 2BolognaW
  • 17 OctBologna1 – 3InterL
  • 11 OctLecce1 – 2BolognaW
  • 19 SeptBologna1 – 1TorinoD
  • 13 SeptNapoli1 – 0BolognaL
H2H
Head to headFiorentina 4W · 1D · Bologna 4W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 18 JanBologna1 – 2Fiorentina
  • 18 MayFiorentina3 – 2Bologna
  • 15 DecBologna1 – 0Fiorentina
  • 14 FebBologna2 – 0Fiorentina
  • 9 JanFiorentina0 – 0Bologna
  • 12 NovFiorentina2 – 1Bologna

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.023% · 7.8
1.5 goals17.1% · 1.368.2% · 2.86
2.5 goals10% · 2.3213.6% · 1.71
3.5 goals5.8% · 4.0519.4% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50.5%
X249.5%

Match result

Fiorentina2.77
Draw3.25
Bologna2.88

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.86
No50% · 1.86

1X

Chance50.5%
Odds1.47

X2

Chance49.5%
Odds1.5

Fiorentina

Chance35.5%
Odds2.77

Draw

Chance30.3%
Odds3.25

Bologna

Chance34.2%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Fiorentina at 2.77

FiorentinaBologna
Recent form56%44%
Attack64%36%
Defence40%60%
Goals model64%36%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall51%49%

Trends

Trend · Serie A

Fiorentina scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Fiorentina conceded 2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie A

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Fiorentina vs Bologna: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 26 Oct 2025

Fiorentina meet Bologna in the Italy, Serie A on 26 October 2025 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Fiorentina at 2.77. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.71, about 57.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.86.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fiorentina vs Bologna FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fiorentina vs Bologna?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 26 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fiorentina vs Bologna?

Fiorentina is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.77. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.32 and under 2.5 is 1.71.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.86. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.