Fiorentina vs Napoli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 20 Sept 2026

Fiorentina

Sun, 20 Sept 202611:30

1 : 1

Full time

Napoli

Pre-match win probability

29.7%Fiorentina28%Draw42.3%Napoli

Our prediction

Napoli

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.25
Confidence42.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Fiorentina 29.7%
  • Draw 28%
  • Napoli 42.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

FiorentinaNapoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X45.6%
X254.4%

Match result

Fiorentina3.2
Draw3.4
Napoli2.25

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance45.6%
Odds1.62

X2

Chance54.4%
Odds1.36

Fiorentina

Chance29.7%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.4

Napoli

Chance42.3%
Odds2.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Napoli at 2.25

FiorentinaNapoli
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall41%59%

Fiorentina vs Napoli: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Fiorentina meet Napoli in the Italy, Serie A on 20 September 2026 at 11:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Fiorentina vs Napoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is Fiorentina vs Napoli?

Kickoff is 11:30 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Fiorentina vs Napoli?

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction, H2H and stats